• Wall Street Journal Analyzes Suffolk-USA TODAY Survey

8/20/2012

According to the recent Suffolk University-USA TODAY innovative poll of unregistered and unlikely voters, nearly 40 percent of Americans will not vote in the November presidential election, but if they were to cast ballots, President Barack Obama would coast to a second term in office.

The Wall Street Journal’s Washington Wire blog article “Political Perceptions: An Elusive Vein of Obama Support,” calls this survey “a fascinating poll” that “dug into the thinking of the 40% or so eligible voters who say they’ll probably sit out this election.”

The article points out “the poll also shows why the Obama team is throwing so much muscle and money into grassroots, get-out-the-vote work in precincts and neighborhoods across a dozen battleground states. The electorate’s least engaged citizens may be fed up with politics, but they’re still unusually forgiving toward the president, and ill-disposed toward Mr. Romney.”

David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, said “the poll itself is testament to how tough it will be for either camp to dip into the disenchanted 40%.”

The blog notes "to flip the usual polling model and go in search of unlikely voters who are willing to be surveyed took the Suffolk pollsters two weeks and thousands of calls.”

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