Election Eve Poll Shows Late Undecided Voters Breaking Towards O-Brien - Romney Now Leads by Just 3%

11/5/2002

BOSTON, MA, November 5, 2002 - Republican candidate Mitt Romney leads Democratic nominee Shannon O’Brien by just 3%, according to an exclusive 7NEWS-Suffolk University poll released today, which shows Romney with 41% versus O’Brien’s 38%. The race is still considered within the margin of error.

Green Party candidate Jill Stein improved to 5%, while Libertarian Party candidate Carla Howell and Independent candidate Barbara Johnson each received 3% and 1% of the vote, respectively. There are still 12% of likely voters who either remain undecided or refused to answer when probed.

"It appears over the final weekend that Romney had the momentum," said Suffolk University adjunct professor David Paleologos, a veteran pollster and author. "Whether there is enough time for the pendulum to swing all the way back to O’Brien is the key question."

The latest 7NEWS-Suffolk University poll also showed that Romney had a commanding lead with Independent/Unenrolled voters. In that category, Romney now leads O’Brien by 21%. In addition, Romney’s numbers increased amongst men and women and on the issues of trust and who’s better at creating jobs.

In other findings, Democrat Tim Cahill (42%) now leads Republican Dan Grabauskas (26%) and Green Party nominee James O’Keefe (5%) in the race for State Treasurer. A total of 25% of voters were undecided.

In the ballot question breakdown, Question 1 (eliminating the state personal income tax) is failing by a 51% to 34% margin. Question 2 (English language education in public schools) is overwhelmingly supported by a 65% to 27% differential. As for Question 3 (an advisory question asking if voters support taxpayer money to be used for political campaigns for public office) the final tally showed voters rejecting the measure by a 65% to 25% gap.

The 7NEWS-Suffolk University poll was conducted from November 1 through November 4, 2002. All undecided voters were probed a second time last evening to determine any late-breaking trends. The margin of error is +/- 4.38% at a 95% level of confidence. All 500 respondents indicated they were likely voters in the general election.

Suffolk University has tabulated 63 pages of statistical data which can be found on the Suffolk website (www.suffolk.edu). For more information, please contact Suffolk adjunct professor David Paleologos at 781-290-9310.

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Suffolk University, located on Boston’s historic Beacon Hill, is a comprehensive, global institution distinguished by its teaching and the intellectual contributions of its faculty. Suffolk offers a wide range of undergraduate and graduate programs in more than 70 areas of study. Its mission is to provide quality education at an affordable cost for students of all ages and backgrounds. Suffolk has a combined enrollment of more than 7,000 full-time and part-time students at its College of Arts and Sciences, Sawyer School of Management, Law School and New England School of Art and Design.

Suffolk Contacts:
Mariellen Norris at 617-573-8450 or
Tony Ferullo at 617-573-8448

7NBC Contact:
Ro Dooley Webster, Director of Public Relations
617-248-5565

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